BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arizona St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 102 Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (1-16) Overall: (8-20) Overall Strength = 45.73
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 41.75 69 68 1 124 ( 20- 12) Northern Arizona -3.89 4.89
2 11-11-2022 Home W 38.05 62 49 1 296 ( 10- 19) Grambling -7.59 20.59
3 11-15-2022 Away W 60.13 79 64 1 122 ( 20- 11) Montana St 14.48 0.52
4 11-20-2022 Away W 54.06 83 77 1 1 112 ( 20- 11) New Mexico 8.42 -2.42
5 11-25-2022 Neutral W 34.77 70 61 1 303 ( 9- 21) American Univ -10.87 19.87
6 11-26-2022 Neutral L 48.78 65 85 1 7 ( 25- 5) Notre Dame 3.14 -23.14
7 11-30-2022 Away W 52.05 80 72 1 140 ( 20- 9) Grand Canyon 6.41 1.59
8 12-02-2022 Home L 26.25 64 88 1 56 ( 26- 6) Massachusetts -19.40 -4.60
9 12-04-2022 Home L 40.99 60 71 1 55 ( 17- 13) Missouri -4.65 -6.35
10 12-11-2022 Away L 39.36 60 75 1 67 ( 25- 5) SF Austin -6.28 -8.72
11 12-17-2022 Home W 40.21 82 67 1 279 ( 15- 14) Prairie View -5.44 20.44
12 12-29-2022 Away L * 47.11 66 84 1 24 ( 21- 9) Arizona 1.47 -19.47
13 12-31-2022 Away L * 43.36 69 101 1 4 ( 28- 5) Stanford -2.29 * -29.71
14 01-02-2023 Away L * 40.46 61 74 1 71 ( 13- 17) California -5.19 -7.81
15 01-06-2023 Home L * 41.70 62 82 1 23 ( 17- 14) Oregon -3.94 -16.06
16 01-08-2023 Home L * 43.42 59 69 1 57 ( 13- 18) Oregon St -2.23 -7.77
17 01-22-2023 Home L * 46.99 67 80 1 24 ( 21- 9) Arizona 1.35 -14.35
18 01-27-2023 Home L * 54.45 57 61 1 32 ( 23- 10) Washington St 8.80 -12.80
19 01-29-2023 Home L * 49.17 53 55 1 52 ( 15- 14) Washington 3.52 -5.52
20 02-03-2023 Away L * 48.41 49 64 1 31 ( 21- 9) Southern Cal 2.76 -17.76
21 02-05-2023 Away L * 46.73 63 82 1 17 ( 25- 9) UCLA 1.09 -20.09
22 02-10-2023 Home L * 37.34 61 72 1 71 ( 13- 17) California -8.31 -2.69
23 02-12-2023 Home L * 38.24 64 96 1 4 ( 28- 5) Stanford -7.41 -24.59
24 02-17-2023 Home L * 51.95 62 70 1 27 ( 23- 8) Colorado 6.31 -14.31
25 02-19-2023 Home L * 61.79 69 74 1 8 ( 25- 4) Utah 16.15 -21.15
26 02-23-2023 Away W * 60.54 75 73 1 57 ( 13- 18) Oregon St 14.89 -12.89
27 02-25-2023 Away L * 37.82 48 77 1 23 ( 17- 14) Oregon -7.82 -21.18
28 03-01-2023 Neutral L * 52.17 70 81 1 1 17 ( 25- 9) UCLA 6.53 -17.53
Averages 45.64 65.3 74.0
Best game: 61.79 = 5 point loss to Utah
Worst game: 26.25 = 24 point loss to Massachusetts
Team stdev: 8.38